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Regensburg 2004 – scientific programme

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AKSOE: Physik sozio-ökonomischer Systeme

AKSOE 4: Soziale Systeme und Entscheidungsmodelle I

AKSOE 4.2: Talk

Tuesday, March 9, 2004, 10:30–11:00, H8

Inter-Party-Movements in Bavaria and Germany — •Christian Hirtreiter1 and Johannes J. Schneider21Institute of Organic Chemistry, University of Regensburg, D-93040 Regensburg — 2Department of Physics, Johannes Gutenberg University of Mainz, Staudinger Weg 7, D-55122 Mainz

The major parties in Germany lose or gain party members depending on the results of their current policies. Many people join or leave a party often immediately after a scandal or a won/lost election. This results in inter-party-movements: parties losing members can be considered as the providers for other parties which get additional members. However, in real life, only seldomly people change directly from their current membership-book to another one. This is due to the fact that because of a diffusion barrier a conservative party member is seldomly tempted to join a left-wing party and vice versa. Thus, new party members are mostly recruited from formerly not in parties organized but not apolitical persons. We will present historical and recent movements based on data both from Bavaria and from the Federal Republic of Germany and will discuss these movements from a physical point of view. Furthermore, we will present computational results for a model simulating these movements.

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