Bonn 2010 – scientific programme

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AGA: Arbeitsgruppe Physik und Abrüstung

AGA 4: Missile Defense and Nuclear Disarmament

AGA 4.3: Talk

Thursday, March 18, 2010, 16:00–16:30, JUR D

US Missile Defense in and for Europe: New Developments and its Implications — Götz Neuneck, Christian Alwardt, and •Hans Christian Gils — Institut für Friedensforschung und Sicherheitspolitik an der Universität Hamburg (IFSH)

In the talk, the major findings of a detailed study on Ballistic Missile Defense in Europe, prepared by various members of the IFSH, are presented. The aim of this study is to discuss the declared objectives of the US-administration, the technological state-of-the-art and the controversy about Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD), as well as its possible implications for missile proliferation and arms control. Special attention is given to the different missile defense programs designed to protect Europe. The results of own simulations are presented, which evaluate the range and geographic coverage of the strategic missile defense systems to be deployed in Europe, taking into account several scenarios. Particularly, beside the approach of the Bush-Administration, this analysis includes the concept recently brought forward by the Obama-Administration, and concludes with a first assessment of its potential future capacity. Additionally, the implications of the introduction of missile defenses for arms control, disarmament and the political relationship between the involved parties are discussed. The issue of strategic stability as well as the consequences for Asia and the Middle East will also be included.