Dresden 2014 – wissenschaftliches Programm

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SOE: Fachverband Physik sozio-ökonomischer Systeme

SOE 6: Poster Session

SOE 6.16: Poster

Montag, 31. März 2014, 18:00–20:00, P2

Agent Based Model to describe Socio-Technical Regime Changes — •Florian Senger — Fraunhofer Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung, Breslauer Str. 48, 76139 Karlsruhe

In the work presented here we combined methods from physics of social systems with methods from evolutionary economics to develop an agent-based model that is supposed to mimic the dynamics of regime changes in socio-technical systems.

We therefore modeled the demand side as consumer agents according to a distribution of endowments and needs, connected to each other in a social network, influencing each other in a voter-model-like manner and choosing the technology and company they think suite their needs best. For the supply side we modeled explicit company agents consisting of genes in an evolutionary sense, producing a technology in a quality depending on their particular fitness, taking influence on particular areas of the consumer network via marketing and changing the alleles of their genes by a process of imitating and stochastic innovating, getting feedback on their fitness by the degree of success with the consumers.

We show here the results so far with different realisations of the model, especially different network topologies and give an outlook on how the model will be applied to real case studies.