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DY: Fachverband Dynamik und Statistische Physik

DY 51: Extreme Events

DY 51.1: Talk

Thursday, March 23, 2017, 16:15–16:30, HÜL 186

Time to build Noah's ark? Searching for trends in extreme events of river data. — •Philipp Müller and Holger Kantz — MPI for the Physics of Complex Systems, Dresden

Floods are one of the most devastating natural disasters striking Germany and at least at a perceived level one might find them happening more frequently nowadays. In this talk we search for trends in extreme events using the example of the river Elbe in Dresden. We will apply the extreme value theory in a non-stationary setting and discuss difficulties, potentials and limitations of this approach.