Bonn 2020 – scientific programme

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AGA: Arbeitsgruppe Physik und Abrüstung

AGA 1: New Technologies

AGA 1.1: Invited Talk

Wednesday, April 1, 2020, 11:00–11:45, H-HS XVII

Lethality of Conventional Weapons Detonations Against Strategic Targets — •Ryan Snyder — IFSH University of Hamburg

Current debates about arms control and crisis stability lack technically valid assessments about the capabilities of conventional weapons, particularly precision-guided munitions (PGMs), that have become increasingly accurate over the past several years compared with inertially-guided munitions. These accuracy improvements have now enhanced the lethality of such munitions against strategic ballistic missile silos, which will likely add further complications into future nuclear arms control efforts and lower the threshold for nuclear use in a crisis. The technical basis for U.S. PGM lethality against strategic missile silos in Russia and China will be discussed, as well as further opportunities and risks that these weapons present. Additionally, the models will also be used to assess Russian and Chinese strike capabilities against U.S. strategic ballistic missile silos.