Bonn 2010 – wissenschaftliches Programm

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AGA: Arbeitsgruppe Physik und Abrüstung

AGA 4: Missile Defense and Nuclear Disarmament

AGA 4.4: Vortrag

Donnerstag, 18. März 2010, 17:00–17:30, JUR D

The Proliferation Potential of Gas Centrifuge Enrichment Technology - Eroding the NPT Deal? — •Matthias Englert — CISAC, Stanford University

The problem of civil-military ambivalent use of sensitive nuclear technologies is currently undermining the stability and the future of the nonproliferation regime. The talk will start by giving a summary of the recent developments in the ongoing controversy over the iranian nuclear program including a brief technical analysis of the current status of the iranian centrifuge program. An overview of other enrichment activities worldwide and an estimate of future enrichment activities will be complemented by an analysis of several possible scenarios for the production of highly enriched uranium. Scenarios will include covert production and break-out at known facilities and production by undeclared ones. For the analysis the cascade simulation tool MATHCASC will be used and its new features will be presented. The talk will briefly summarize several proposed solutions to the proliferation problem of centrifuge technology, trying to broaden the perspective from the case of Iran to the general use of this central sensitive technology.