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AGA: Arbeitsgruppe Physik und Abrüstung

AGA 2: Missiles, Missile Defense, and Disarmament

AGA 2.2: Hauptvortrag

Donnerstag, 29. März 2012, 10:30–11:30, A 151

Why the European Missile Defense Will Fail: The Implications of New Facts Released by the US Government — •Ted Postol — Science, Technology and Global Security Working Group, MIT, USA

Roughly two years have passed since the US Department of Defense recommended the European Phased Adaptive Approach (EPAA) missile defense to President Obama. However, in spite of the initial enthusiasm for the EPAA, the DoD has now released an unclassified technical study that indicates that none of the radars in the EPAA missile defense-system are sufficiently powerful to make it workable. Correcting this problem will require vast additional expenditures for the EPAA and will still not guarantee it will ever be workable. The reason that the EPAA cannot be made to work, even if all of its radars are upgraded, is because the DoD now admits that it has not been able to demonstrate that it can reliably distinguish between warheads, decoys, and other debris a capability that the DoD acknowledges is central to the workability of both the EPAA and Ground-Based Missile Defense (GMD). Making the future of the EPAA look even more problematic is intelligence just released by the US government that shows foreign ballistic missiles are already demonstrating an ability to quickly deploy decoys and other countermeasures. This talk will review this new DoD study and explain its findings in detail.