Berlin 2012 – wissenschaftliches Programm

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SOE: Fachverband Physik sozio-ökonomischer Systeme

SOE 10: Social Systems, Opinion and Group Dynamics I

SOE 10.3: Vortrag

Dienstag, 27. März 2012, 14:30–14:45, H 0110

Is there an optimum strategy for the penalty shoot-out in soccer? — •Metin Tolan — TU Dortmund, Fakultät Physik & DELTA, metin.tolan@tu-dortmund.de

The most exciting events of soccer tournaments are always penalty shoot-outs. Five players from each team have to shoot from 11 meters alternately on the goal. In this talk we will discuss some basic facts about the penalty shot and the penalty shoot-out. It will turn out that the penalty is a sort of an optimum compromise between a punishment of one team for some sort of unfair play and excitement since it is not sure that a penalty yields a goal. We will also discuss the optimum strategy for the team manager to figure out the order in which his players should do their penalty kicks. We will also see that the pressure on the first shooter is almost independent on the probability of the average success rate of his penalty shot.