Berlin 2018 – wissenschaftliches Programm

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SOE: Fachverband Physik sozio-ökonomischer Systeme

SOE 4: Social Systems, Opinion and Group Dynamics I

SOE 4.7: Vortrag

Montag, 12. März 2018, 13:00–13:15, MA 001

The Packing Rate: a new gold standard in estimating the strength of soccer teams? — •Andreas Heuer — Inst. f. Phys. Chemie, WWU Münster, Germany

A few years ago a new objective metric, the packing rate, has entered the field of soccer statistics. It expresses the total number of players of the opponent which are taken out by passes or by dribbles of a team and has been used by different media to express the strength of soccer teams.

In this presentation, we analyze the information content of this observable. An informative quantity has to fulfill two requirements. (1) In the long-time limit, i.e. without random effects, it has to display a high correlation with the team strength as reflected by the actual results of the team. (2) The random contributions have to be small.

These and other properties of this new metric are analysed on an objective level and compared with other observables, which currently are used to express the strength of soccer teams [1]. It turns out that the packing rate is highly informative.

[1] A. Heuer, O. Rubner, PLoS ONE 9, e104647 (2014)