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SYTP: Symposium Tipping Points in Social and Climate Systems

SYTP 1: Tipping Points in Social and Climate Systems

SYTP 1.2: Hauptvortrag

Donnerstag, 12. März 2026, 15:30–16:00, HSZ/AUDI

Tipping points and regime shifts in coupled social-climate systems — •Chris Bauch — Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Waterloo, Canada

Coupled social-climate interactions are important, yet the modelling of such systems is in its infancy, including the study of their tipping points. In this talk, I will touch briefly on two coupled social-climate models*a simpler model intended to study potential interactions between climate and social tipping points, and a more realistic model with regional structure that is parametrised with geophysical, economic, demographic and social data. Among other findings, I will highlight some unexpected predictions that emerge from the nonlinear interactions in the models. I will also touch upon data-driven dynamical systems approaches to predicting tipping points in climate and social-climate systems.

Keywords: social-climate systems; data-driven dynamical systems; early warning signals; mathematical modelling; bifurcation theory