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Berlin 2008 – wissenschaftliches Programm

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AKA: Arbeitskreis Physik und Abrüstung

AKA 8: Detection and Verification

AKA 8.1: Vortrag

Freitag, 29. Februar 2008, 11:15–11:45, H 0110

Modelling of global atmospheric Krypton-85 concentrations for detection of unreported nuclear reprocessing — •Ole Roß1, Martin Kalinowski1, Johann Feichter2, Sebastian Rast2, and Heinke Schlünzen31Carl Friedrich von Weizsäcker Centre for Science and Peace Research, Unversity of Hamburg — 2Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg — 3ZMAW, Meteorological Institute, University of Hamburg

Concentration measurements of radioactive noble gas isotopes play an important role for the verification of nuclear arms control treaties. The current project deals with Krypton-85, which is an indicator for plutonium separation and thus relevant to the IAEA Safeguards of the Non Proliferation Treaty. The goal of this project is to assess the feasibility of detection of undeclared nuclear reprocessing through 85Kr measurements and atmospheric transport modelling. In the presentation an overview about different approaches in atmospheric tracer modelling is given and the properties of 85Kr compared to those of the Xenon isotopes used for the verification of nuclear explosions are discussed. For the determination of the global 85Kr background concentrations due to known reprocessing facilities the General Circulation Model ECHAM5 was used. After implementation of the emission sources the tracer transport properties of the model were investigated and improved. First results of global 85Kr tracer distributions are shown and compared with previous studies. The spatial and temporal variability of the model results and the sensitivity to different emission patterns are analysed.

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