Berlin 2014 – wissenschaftliches Programm

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AGA: Arbeitsgruppe Physik und Abrüstung

AGA 5: Verification Methodologies

AGA 5.2: Vortrag

Donnerstag, 20. März 2014, 12:30–13:00, DO24 Reuter Saal

Information and Risk-driven Verfication - An Innovative Approach? — •Clemens Listner1, Gotthard Stein2, Irmgard Niemeyer1, Morton J. Canty1, and Arnold Rezniczek31Forschungszentrum Jülich, Jülich, Germany — 2Consultant, Bonn, Germany — 3UBA GmbH, Herzogenrath, Germany

As a result of the inability to detect the Iraq's clandestine nuclear weapons programme, the IAEA realised the need to give greater consideration to the State as a whole, rather than focusing primarily on nuclear material and facilities declared by the State. This has led to an approach known as the State-level concept. It allows for an assessment of a State's technical capabilities to acquire weapon grade nuclear material and the potential risk of such scenarios.

The paper gives an overview of the major principles of this approach and explores how far these ideas could also be implemented in other fields of international agreements where verification of treaty compliance is essential. Furthermore, it will be shown how the concept could be applied to the field of nuclear disarmament. By enhancing the ability to verify nuclear disarmament, it could thus serve as a driver for further multinational and international negotiations.

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