Dresden 2020 – wissenschaftliches Programm
Die DPG-Frühjahrstagung in Dresden musste abgesagt werden! Lesen Sie mehr ...
Bereiche | Tage | Auswahl | Suche | Aktualisierungen | Downloads | Hilfe
SOE: Fachverband Physik sozio-ökonomischer Systeme
SOE 8: Climate Impact and Human-Economy-Nature Interactions (accompanying the symposium SYCE)
SOE 8.2: Vortrag
Mittwoch, 18. März 2020, 12:45–13:00, HSZ 02
Dynamic emergence of domino effects in systems of interacting tipping elements in ecology and climate — •Ann Kristin Klose1,2, Volker Karle1,3, Ricarda Winkelmann1,4, and Jonathan Donges1,5 — 1Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany — 2Carl von Ossietzky University Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany — 3Institute of Science and Technology Austria, Klosterneuburg, Austria — 4Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany — 5Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
In ecology, climate and other fields, systems have been identified that can transition into a qualitatively different state when a critical threshold in a driving process is crossed. An understanding of those tipping elements is of great interest given the increasing influence of humans on the biophysical Earth system. Tipping elements are not independent from each other as there exist complex interactions. Based on earlier work on such coupled nonlinear systems, we systematically assessed the qualitative asymptotic behavior of interacting tipping elements. We developed an understanding of the consequences of interactions on the tipping behavior allowing for domino effects to emerge under certain conditions. The application of these qualitative results to real-world examples of interacting tipping elements shows that domino effects with profound consequences can occur and calls for the development of a unified theory of interacting tipping elements and the quantitative analysis of interacting real-world tipping elements.